A Neural-Network Approach to the Modeling of the Impact of Market Volatility on Investment

Document Type: Research Paper

Authors

1 Management, economic and management, islamic azad university sciene and research branch, tehran, iran

2 Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran

3 Department of Economic And Accaonting, Islamic Azad University of Centeral Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran

10.22034/amfa.2020.1879320.1298

Abstract

ABSTRACT
In recent years, authors have focused on modeling and forecasting volatility in financial series it is crucial for the characterization of markets, portfolio optimization and asset valuation. One of the most used methods to forecast market volatility is the linear regression. Nonetheless, the errors in prediction using this approach are often quite high. Hence, continued research is conducted to improve forecasting models employing a variety of techniques. In this paper, we extend the field of expert systems, forecasting, and model by applying an Artificial Neural Network. ANN model is applied to forecast market volatility. The results show an overall improvement in forecasting using the neural network as compared to linear regression method.

Keywords